Below is a quote from the SOS from 1-23. Once BP puts his PR up for this week I will look at it again over a 4 week period.
Quote:
This morning I took a look at BP's Power Rankings and did a little analysis comparing his Power Rankings with the Strength of Schedule Rankings I have been doing. I looked at the last three week and there appears to be a definate pattern.
If you look at each ranking teams in the top half of the Power Rankings tend to be in the bottom half of the Strength of Schedule Rankings. This is true about 70% of the time. If you look at the top 5 and bottom 5 there is an even stronger correlation. The exception to this were Texarkana and Texas who are in the upper slots in both rankings and Wassilla who is closer to the bottom of both.
This was just looking at a 3 week period, but I bet if the analysis is done over a longer period of time there will be a closer correlation.
The purpose of the quote above is that in my opinion SOS effects nearly every catagory in BP's Rankings. I do not know if BP weighs any one catagory more than another in his Rankings but in my opinion and again it is my opinion SOS has the greatest effect on the ranking.
These are the catagories that BP uses.
Quote:
Strength of Schedule, Home Win %, Road Win %, Goals Scored , Goals Allowed, Goal Differential, Goals Scored/Game, Goals Allowed/Game, Power Play %, Penalty Kill %, Total Special Teams and Record of Last 10 Games.
I think that you can agree that if a team plays a stronger schedule based on opponent winning % then their Home/Road winning % will tend to be lower, their Goals Scored will tend to be lower etc and if a team plays a weaker schedule the opposite will tend to be true.
You say that Texarkana's remaining schedule is tougher than shown in the SOS Rankings. Of the 19 remaining games the average opponent winning % is 0.494., 9 of 19 games are against teams below 0.418 with another 5 against a team 1 game over 500. Of the 5 remaining games 4 are against Fairbanks who have built their 0.631 winning % by playing 29 of their 42 games against teams below 0.500.
I agree playing the last 9 games on the road is going to be tough. I have also posted that I could not determine how to include road/home mathmatically into the equations. That is why I include the column showing the difference in Road/Home.
You can think they are if you like that is your opinion but like my grandmother always told me; opinions are just like butt holes, everybody has one and all of them but mine stink.
Quote:
I have yet to really figure out what your SOS rankings are supposed to be telling me when you just throw them out there by themself.
I explain how I calculate the SOS Rankings. BP lists his catagories but nothing else and I don't see you saying anything to him about just throwing them out there.
Posted:
Mon Jan 30, 2006 3:59 pm
BorderPatrol I don't give a flying fuck what you think.
CHL Hat Trick
Joined: 01 Dec 2005
Posts: 1118
Location: Just South of Dookie Ditch....
Jtornado wrote:
Hey! I am not the one attacking the person. .
I don't think he was attacking TW....just questioning his rankings...
bp
_________________ We have enough youth....how about a fountain of "smart"?
If you will try being smarter, I will try being nicer.
Unlike some of you, I am not here to impress anyone, so I really don't give a shit what you think of me or my post.
Posted:
Mon Jan 30, 2006 4:04 pm
1 Cool Pucker Scored 1st goal
Joined: 01 Dec 2005
Posts: 247
Jtornado wrote:
1 Cool Pucker wrote:
Jtornado wrote:
There...no edits.
What a coincidence....no intelligence either.....
1CP
Hey! I am not the one attacking the person. Just speaking the facts of TW's list. So, before you rip on my "intelligence" or "weak mind", remember...I am not the one digressing from the topic of the thread.
________________________________
I'm the epitome of stupidity!
I believe I was replying to TW's so-called SOS rankings when you came in and accused me of making excuses for losing, when obviously, there are no excuses to be found on this thread. You simply wanted to stir shit, and I simply pointed out that your doing that would most likely result in you becoming very dizzy.
1CP
Posted:
Mon Jan 30, 2006 4:08 pm
1 Cool Pucker Scored 1st goal
Joined: 01 Dec 2005
Posts: 247
TornadoWarning wrote:
1CP,
Below is a quote from the SOS from 1-23. Once BP puts his PR up for this week I will look at it again over a 4 week period.
Quote:
This morning I took a look at BP's Power Rankings and did a little analysis comparing his Power Rankings with the Strength of Schedule Rankings I have been doing. I looked at the last three week and there appears to be a definate pattern.
If you look at each ranking teams in the top half of the Power Rankings tend to be in the bottom half of the Strength of Schedule Rankings. This is true about 70% of the time. If you look at the top 5 and bottom 5 there is an even stronger correlation. The exception to this were Texarkana and Texas who are in the upper slots in both rankings and Wassilla who is closer to the bottom of both.
This was just looking at a 3 week period, but I bet if the analysis is done over a longer period of time there will be a closer correlation.
The purpose of the quote above is that in my opinion SOS effects nearly every catagory in BP's Rankings. I do not know if BP weighs any one catagory more than another in his Rankings but in my opinion and again it is my opinion SOS has the greatest effect on the ranking.
These are the catagories that BP uses.
Quote:
Strength of Schedule, Home Win %, Road Win %, Goals Scored , Goals Allowed, Goal Differential, Goals Scored/Game, Goals Allowed/Game, Power Play %, Penalty Kill %, Total Special Teams and Record of Last 10 Games.
I think that you can agree that if a team plays a stronger schedule based on opponent winning % then their Home/Road winning % will tend to be lower, their Goals Scored will tend to be lower etc and if a team plays a weaker schedule the opposite will tend to be true.
You say that Texarkana's remaining schedule is tougher than shown in the SOS Rankings. Of the 19 remaining games the average opponent winning % is 0.494., 9 of 19 games are against teams below 0.418 with another 5 against a team 1 game over 500. Of the 5 remaining games 4 are against Fairbanks who have built their 0.631 winning % by playing 29 of their 42 games against teams below 0.500.
I agree playing the last 9 games on the road is going to be tough. I have also posted that I could not determine how to include road/home mathmatically into the equations. That is why I include the column showing the difference in Road/Home.
You can think they are if you like that is your opinion but like my grandmother always told me; opinions are just like butt holes, everybody has one and all of them but mine stink.
Quote:
I have yet to really figure out what your SOS rankings are supposed to be telling me when you just throw them out there by themself.
I explain how I calculate the SOS Rankings. BP lists his catagories but nothing else and I don't see you saying anything to him about just throwing them out there.
I am simply saying that when I look at your rankings, especially for the remainder of the year, and I look at the Bandits' remaining schedule, it is very obvious to me that your SOS rankings are very inadequate.
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