Strength of Schedule 1-9-06

1) Texas ---------- 0.615 -- (2) -- +7
2) Santa Fe ------ 0.614 -- (1) -- -2
3) Helena --------- 0.581 -- (9) -- 0
4) Alpena --------- 0.571 -- (4) -- +3
5) Bismark -------- 0.567 -- (10) -- 0
6) Texarkana ----- 0.565 -- (11) -- -3
7) Minnesota ----- 0.565 -- (7) -- -2
8) Wichita Falls -- 0.561 -- (8) -- +2
9) Billings --------- 0.559 -- (12) -- +1
10) Traverse ----- 0.557 -- (13) -- +3
11) Fargo --------- 0.555 -- (5) -- 0
12) N Iowa ------- 0.554 -- (6) -- -3
13) Springfield --- 0.552 -- (3) -- +7
14) Wasilla ------- 0.529 -- (16) -- -3
15) S Minnesota - 0.527 -- (14) -- -8
16) Bozeman ----- 0.505 -- (18) -- +3
17) Cleveland ---- 0.501 -- (15) -- -5
18) USNTDP ------- 0.495 -- (19) -- -3
19) Mahoning ----- 0.493 -- (17) -- +1
20) Fairbanks ----- 0.476 -- (20) -- +1

Here again is the weekly strength of schedule ranking based on average opponents winning percentage. The number in the ( ) indicates previous weeks rank. The last number listed indicated the Road / Home game differential. A positive number indicates the team has played that many more Road Games while a negative number indicates they have played that many more Home Games.

On a Divisional basis the South continues to have the toughest scheduling.

1) South 0.582 (1) +11
2) Cent. 0.554 (2) -13
3) West 0.531 (4) 0
4) North 0.524 (3) -1

I heard on the ESPN radio the other day where a teenage kid had came up with a formula that proved that the 2005 Arkansas Razorbacks football team should be ranked #5 in the end of the year college football rankings. You can manipulate stats in any way you want to to make certain teams look better and certain teams look worse. BP's rankings are legit. You weren't on top in those, and haven't been for awhile so you had to come up with something to make yourself feel better......and that's cool. It is just funny to me that when the Tornado was kicking everyone's ass, you weren't worried about strength of schedule or anything else......now you are having to try to prove to yourself that your beloved Tornado is still the best team in the NAHL.

1CP

How do you compute your SoS? Your numbers are really damn close to mine on 19 teams out of 20.

bp

"I heard on the ESPN radio the other day where a teenage kid had came up with a formula that proved that the 2005 Arkansas Razorbacks football team should be ranked #5 in the end of the year college football rankings. You can manipulate stats in any way you want to to make certain teams look better and certain teams look worse. BP's rankings are legit. You weren't on top in those, and haven't been for awhile so you had to come up with something to make yourself feel better......and that's cool. It is just funny to me that when the Tornado was kicking everyone's ass, you weren't worried about strength of schedule or anything else......now you are having to try to prove to yourself that your beloved Tornado is still the best team in the NAHL."


That's part of the problem...listening to ESPN Radio! Remember, ESPN was hyping USC all year and now are doing some major backtracking. Ask the One-Eyed Stuart Scott...maybe he will rap some NAHL hockey stats to you! BTW...until someone else wins the championship...the TT are the best team in the NAHL!

Quote:

BP's rankings are legit. You weren't on top in those, and haven't been for awhile so you had to come up with something to make yourself feel better

Oh not so 1CP.

If you were able to look back at the old GR you would see that I also did a Strength of Schedule evaluation then. I also did one last week.

There is no manipulation of the data here at all. Very simple and stright forward. I simply take the W - L - OTL record for each team and place that in a spreadsheet. I use each teams schedule to determine how many games they have played against each opponent. Those opponents W - L - OTL records are then multiplied by the number of games against those opponents. All opponents are calculated in this manner, the numbers added together and then divided by the total numbers of games played by a team to get their opponents average winning percentage.

BP does a great job in his ranknigs and I feel the rankings are very interesting. He uses Strength of Schedule, Home Win %, Road Win %, Goals Scored , Goals Allowed, Goal Differential, Goals Scored/Game, Goals Allowed/Game, Power Play %, Penalty Kill %, Total Special Teams and Record of Last 10 Games as the catagories in the rankings. I do not know if BP weighs any one catagory heavier than another but I feel that many of the catagories used in BP's rankings are directly influenced by the Strength of Schedule.

For instance if a team plays a weak schedule they will tend to have a higher Home/Road winning percentage, higher goals scored, lower goals allowed etc. The opposite would be true if a team plays a tougher schedule. That is why I have been putting together the strength of schedule rankings.

Not that I think my rankings are better than BP's, but that in my opinion they enhance BP's rankings. Take them or leave them, makes no difference to me.